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最終更新日:2024年4月22日

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Central Banking

Central Banking
Show the new challenges facing central banks in the 21st century, especially in emerging market economies, in the age of artificial intelligence, climate change, financial volatility and rising inequality. The course starts by reviewing the role of Central Banks and Monetary Policy, a recap of monetary policy regimes, focusing on inflation targeting. Updating the inflation targeting regime is examined since in practice many emerging countries are using the complementarity of several monetary policy instruments. Interest rates are essential to combat inflation and ensure price stability. But to guarantee financial stability, which is part of the CBs' mandates, many countries are using macro-prudential instruments (to prevent excessive credit growth from turning into a financial crisis) and specific interventions in the foreign exchange market. Then the course introduces the topic of environmental sustainability into the CB agenda. Climate change is already affecting the balance sheets of the financial system, insurance companies, etc. due to the increasing cost of more frequent extreme weather events. The objective of financial stability requires that this new type of risk, which is labelled Green Swans, be taken into account and better priced. Then, the course shows how to understand for BCs the effect of income inequality and how it affects the effectiveness of monetary policy. The FED and the ECB began to reflect on this, inequality is more the domain of government, Ministries of social policies, Finance and Planning. But growing inequality has become an issue of growing concern affecting CBs as well. Food and energy inflation in 2021-22 and deep recessions related to the Covid-19 pandemic always have severe distributional effects.
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時間割/共通科目コード
コース名
教員
学期
時限
5123256
GPP-MP6E20L3
Central Banking
AwazuPereiraDaSilva Luiz
S1
火曜4限、金曜4限
マイリストに追加
マイリストから削除
講義使用言語
英語
単位
2
実務経験のある教員による授業科目
NO
他学部履修
不可
開講所属
公共政策学教育部
授業計画
1.Introduction: central banking in the age of Artificial Intelligence, Climate Change, Inequality and Populism 2.New shocks and crises in the 21st century as illustration of these old and new policy challenges 3.Why do you need central banks? Stabilization functions, Price and Financial stability and instability 4.Monetary Policy 5.Financial Stability 6.Inflation targeting 7.Challenges for traditional flex IT after 2000s: large capital flows, the GFC, UMP and spillovers 8.Integrated Inflation Targeting (IIT): a response to the new challenges? 9.Macro-Financial Policy Analysis under IIT 10.Central banks and the digital revolution: fintech, DeFi, crypto assets and labor markets 11.Central banks in the era of Climate Change (CC): Green Swans 12.Central banks and inequality hysteresis
授業の方法
lectures, face-to-face sessions, discussions encouraged
成績評価方法
Exam, class participation
教科書
No textbook but see reference below.
参考書
Agénor P.R. and L A Pereira da Silva, (2019) “Integrated inflation targeting – Another perspective from the developing world” Bank for International Settlements, https://www.bis.org/***** Agénor P.R. and L A Pereira da Silva, (2024) “Macro-Financial Policy Analysis in Bank-Dependent Economies: an Operational Manual”, Bank for International Settlements, https://www.bis.org/***** Agénor P.R. and Montiel P. (2008) “Development macroeconomics”, 3rd edition, Princeton University Press. Agénor Pierre-Richard, Marcus Miller, David Vines, Axel Weber (Editors) (2000), “The Asian Financial Crisis: Causes, Contagion and Consequences”, Cambridge University Press Blanchard O.J. (2020) “Macroeconomics” Global edition, 8th edition, Pearson. Blinder A., (1998) “Central bank in theory and practice”, MIT Blinder A., (2013) “After the music stopped”, Peguin Press Blinder A., (2022) “A Monetary and Fiscal History of the United States, 1961-2021”, Princeton University Press Bolton P, M Deprés, L A Pereira da Silva, F Samama and R Svartzman (2020) “The green swan: Central Banking and financial stability in the age of climate change”, Bank for International Settlements, https://www.bis.org/***** Dornbusch R. and S Edwards, (1991) “The macroeconomics of populism in Latin America”, NBER and Chicago Press. Drazen A., (2000) “Political economy in macroeconomics”, Princeton University Press Friedman, Benjamin M., and Michael Woodford, eds. (2010) Handbook of monetary economics” North Holland Friedman, M., & Schwartz, A. J. (1963). A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press Kindleberger, Charles P. and Robert Aliber, (1978) “Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises” Macmillan. Minsky H., (1986) “Stabilizing an unstable economy”, Yale University Press. Pereira da Silva L A, E Kharroubi, E Kohlscheen, M Lombardi and B Mojon (2022) “Inequality hysteresis and the effectiveness of macroeconomic stabilisation policies”, Bank for International Settlements, https://www.bis.org/***** Stiglitz J and B Greenwald (2003), “Towards a New Paradigm in Monetary Economics”, Cambridge University Press Tirole J. (2017) “Economics for the common good”, Princeton
履修上の注意
Basic understanding of micro and macroeconomics as well as statistical methods / econometrics are necessary. A prerequisite is Macroeconomics for Public Policy (or its equivalent).