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Environmental Management and Policy III

Human Population Dynamics by Professor Joel E. Cohen (Rockefeller University and Columbia University) Professor Joel E. Cohen is a world-level, famous researcher on human population dynamics, and we are lucky enough to invite him to an intensive course "Human Population Dynamics" of PEAK ES course, the University of Tokyo every two years.
This course will survey the past, present, and likely future of Earth's human population from a
global perspective. It will examine the prospects for a larger, more slowly growing, older and
more urban population in the future. It will consider the causes and consequences of
demographic differences between regions. It will review and criticize concepts and estimates of
human carrying capacity. Population interacts with economics, the environment and culture,
including human values. As examples of these interactions, the course will explore the
connections of population with food, water, energy, climate, education, equity, sustainability,
governance, and globalization.
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時間割/共通科目コード
コース名
教員
学期
時限
31D360-0100S
GAS-ES6B03L3
Environmental Management and Policy III
嶋田 正和
S1 S2
集中
マイリストに追加
マイリストから削除
講義使用言語
英語
単位
2
実務経験のある教員による授業科目
NO
他学部履修
開講所属
総合文化研究科
授業計画
2019-06-22 (Sat) from 10AM to Pr. 5 1. History of human population a. Demographic transitions b. How many people have ever lived? c. Population, economics, environment, and culture 2. Future of the human population a. Population projection: techniques and limits b. Bigger, slower, more urban, older c. Migration, family structure 2019-06-29 (Sat) from 10AM to Pr. 5 3. Human carrying capacity a. Examples b. Problems with the concept of human carrying capacity c. Dynamic models 4. Population, food and water a. Hunger amid plenty b. Domestic animal populations c. Global trade in food and water 2019-07-07 (Sun) from 10AM to Pr. 5 5. Population, energy and climate a. How people affect climate b. How climate affects people 6. Population and human quality a. Education b. Health c. Equity d. Sustainability, nations, and globalization: can we have them all? e. Policy options
授業の方法
Lectures showing Power Point slides, Group work and discussions, (Please bring your laptop) Small quizzes, etc
成績評価方法
Class attendance, participation in discussions in class, and a written term report
教科書
These papers are free to download from http://lab.rockefeller.edu/cohenje/cohenall Cohen, Human population: the next half century. Science 302:1172-1175, 14 Nov. 2003 Cohen, Human population grows up. Scientific American special issue “Crossroads for Planet Earth” September 2005. Cohen, Joel E. Population growth and the Earth's human carrying capacity. Science 269:341-346 (21 July 1995). Cohen, Joel E. Population, economics, environment, and culture: an introduction to human carrying capacity. Journal of Applied Ecology 34:1325-1333, December 1997. Cohen, Joel E. and Bloom, David E. 2005 Cultivating minds. Finance and Development 42(2):8-14, June. International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC. Cohen, Joel E. How many people can the Earth support? Journal of Population and Sustainability 2(1):37-42 2017. https://issuu.com/populationandsustainability/docs/journal_of_population_and_sustainab Vegard Skirbekk, Ursula Staudinger, J. E. Cohen, How to measure population aging? The answer is less than obvious. Gerontology 2018. https://doi.org/10.1159/000494025. Gilles Pison, The number and proportion of immigrants in the population: International comparisons. Population and Societies n° 563, February 2019 https://www.ined.fr/en/publications/editions/population-and-societies/number-proportion-immigrants-in-population-international-comparison-2019/ Lutz W, Goujon A, Samir KC, Stonawski M, Stilianakis N (Eds.) (2018) Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, doi:10.2760/41776. See also https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/news/future-population-and-migration ====== Lecture Materials (June, 22, 2019) ======== 1. McFalls, Joseph A., Jr. 2007 Population: A Lively Introduction, 5th Edition. Population Bulletin 62(1):1-36. Population Reference Bureau, Washington, DC. http://www.prb.org/Publications/Reports/2007/PopulationALivelyIntroduction.aspx 2. Cohen, Joel E. 2005 Human population grows up. Scientific American 293(3):48-55, September. http://www.rockefeller.edu/labheads/cohenje/PDFs/324CohenHumanPpnGrowsUpSciAm2005.pdf 3. Population Reference Bureau 2018 World Population Data Sheet. Population Reference Bureau, Washington, DC. [wall chart; online version at http://www.worldpopdata.org/]
参考書
Preston, Samuel H., Heuveline, Patrick and Guillot, Michel 2001 Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell Publishing Ltd, Malden, MA, Oxford. How Many People Can the Earth Support? by Joel E. Cohen (W.W. Norton & Company, Inc., 1995) David Reich, Who We Are and How We Got Here: Ancient DNA and the New Science of the Human Past. New York: Pantheon Books, 2018. Sarah Harper, Demography: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford University Press 2018. Cipolla, Carlo M. 1974 The Economic History of World Population. 6th ed. Penguin, Baltimore. Livi-Bacci, Massimo 2017 A Concise History of World Population: An Introduction to Population Processes. Chichester ; Malden, MA : John Wiley & Sons, 6th edition. Thomas J. Bollyky, Plagues and the Paradox of Progress. MIT Press 2018. Angus Deaton, The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2013). Randall M. Packard, A History of Global Health: Interventions into the Lives of Other Peoples (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2016). Dorothy Porter, Health, Civilization, and the State: A History of Public Health from Ancient to Modern Times (New York: Routledge Books, 1999).
履修上の注意
Intensive lectures Saturdays, June 22, 29, and July 07, 2019 (2019-06-22, 2019-06-29, and 2019-07-07) ********** Important Notice ************ With regard to attendance of the intensive course “Human Population Dynamics”  Organization for Programs on Environmental Sciences Prof. Emer. Masakazu SHIMADA (ext. 46845 at OPES Office) mshimada@system.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp ------- Dear all the students Due to a combination of Prof. Cohen's reputation and the timeliness of the topics he will teach, coupled with the need to manage group work in the afternoon sessions, it is necessary for us to restrict the number of students up to 30 students attending the course, “Human Population Dynamics” (by Prof. J. E. Cohen) as follows. [1] Students who won't undertake the group work in the afternoon sessions will not be approved to get course credit (2 units). [2] Students who wish to obtain course credit will be prioritized for enrollment onto the course as follows: (1)Students of PEAK/GPEAK (GSP+GPES+USTP), Department of Interdisciplinary Sciences, or Department of Multi-Disciplinary Sciences, (2)Students of other departments of the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Komaba Campus (3)Students from other departments and graduate schools in Hongo and Kashiwa.
その他
2008 Population and climate change. American Philosophical Society, Philadelphia, PA, November. http://www.amphilsoc.org/video/Nov2008/November_2008_09.htm 2009 Human population to 2050: problems and opportunities. Collège de France, Paris, France, June. http://www.college-de-france.fr/default/EN/all/cha_eur_en2008/colloque_juin_2009_populat__10.jsp 2010 First annual Malthus Lecture, Population Reference Bureau and International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC. http://www.prb.org/Journalists/Webcasts/2010/malthuslecture.aspx, http://www.ebmcdn.net/prb/html/prb-malthus-0310a/index.html, http://www.ebmcdn.net/prb/html/prb-malthus-0310b/index.html 2010 How many people can the Earth support? Environmental Change & Security Program of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Washington, DC. November 22, 2010. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gmALGtDTQWo 2010 Education as a means to addressing rapid population growth and aging. Environmental Change & Security Program of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Washington, DC. November 22, 2010. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RW2WTEpoAdk 2010 Too few or too many? Joel E. Cohen on how education can address both. The New Security Beat seeking a sustainable future for a lasting peace. December 17, 2010. http://newsecuritybeat.blogspot.com/2010/12/watch-too-few-or-too-many-joel-e-cohen.html 2011 Malthus Miffed: Are People the Problem, the Solution, or Both? An Introduction to Demography and Populations Study Through an Examination of the World's Population. Floating University and Big Think. (1) http://www.floatinguniversity.com/lectures-cohen (2) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vr44C_G0-o 2012 Keynote Address: Feathering Our Nest or Fouling Our Nest? Challenges and Opportunities of Coming Human Population Changes. Ecosystem Services: Charting a Path to Sustainability. National Academies Press, Washington, DC. www.nap.edu (CD with book) Online: http://media.nakfi.org.s3.amazonaws.com/2012/cohen_joel_e/cohen_joel_e.html 2013 Is a limit to length of human life imminent? American Philosophical Society, November 15. http://diglib.amphilsoc.org/islandora/object/video:1243 2018 Life time: the meanings and limits of age. Israel Academy of Sciences and Humanities, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DIkIpOebCUA&feature=youtu.be 2019 Hunger does not pay. Demography Today. BBVA Foundation, Madrid, Spain, http://demografia.tv/video/8db4a75e0a0ce96/Joel-ECohen-Hunger-Does-Not-Pay Also at: https://vimeo.com/325035732 www.prb.org https://population.un.org/wpp/ https://data.worldbank.org/ https://data.oecd.org/ https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database